Strategy: using what’s inside your control to influence what’s not.
This idea works whatever time and resource scope you’re operating in, from “how could I use the next hour of my own time?” to “how could I use the next year of my 100,000 person-strong organisation?”
Strategy is often mistaken for a plan. You do usually need a simplistic high-level plan to navigate the political aspect. This is your deliberate strategy.
But remember: at the start of any initiative, you know the least you’ll ever know again about that initiative. It’s astronomically unlikely that your Plan A nails everything you don’t know yet.
You already know this in your belly – simply from noticing how frequently your plans for just the next hour of your time go awry. You think adding more time and people is going to make things better?!
This is why Strategy is also the way you respond to unfolding conditions in an adaptive way. This is your emergent strategy.
“The deliberate strategy is what we present to the shareholders. The emergent strategy is what we actually do.” – a Japanese CFO quoted by JP Castlin
Or in other words:
have a Plan A
“sell” Plan A
hold Plan A very lightly
agree Pivot Triggers (or Survival Metrics or Kill Criteria if you prefer) for the tiny first iteration of Plan A
share those Pivot Triggers with everyone who’s involved in Plan A, so they understand this is not a linear plan and it’s not set in stone
prioritise Speed-to-Signal and probe for the signals you need to decide whether to double down on Plan A or adapt the plan.
That’s how we do it at Trigger Strategy Group, anyway.
How do you balance that tension between the deliberate strategy and the emergent strategy?
Tom x
Hey, Tom. I totally agree we need some kind of plan. And that it’s also "astronomically unlikely that your Plan A nails everything you don’t know yet".
So when uncertainty is high, we need a strategy. Our strategy helps us devise said plan in the first place. It also helps us adapt as our plan inevitably unfolds (euphemism alert) differently than we hoped.
How? By defining a "strategy rule" that tackles what's in the way of achieving our aspiration. The rule is at the heart of a strategy framework which helps us align our (planned) actions. Adhering to our self-imposed rule also helps us make better decisions as we walk down the road.
This comes from Peter Compo's excellent book 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙀𝙢𝙚𝙧𝙜𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝘼𝙥𝙥𝙧𝙤𝙖𝙘𝙝 𝙩𝙤 𝙎𝙩𝙧𝙖𝙩𝙚𝙜𝙮. As we've talked about before, I think there's a lot of common ground with his approach and your own. Particularly Multiverse Mapping, of course 😊
Cogent and useful post, thanks Tom!